What Joel Embiid’s return means for the 76ers, the playoff race and East rivals

What Joel Embiid’s return means for the 76ers, the playoff race and East rivals


PHILADELPHIA — When Joel Embiid barreled ill the court docket within the ultimate 30 seconds of Tuesday night time’s match in opposition to the Western Convention-leading Oklahoma City Thunder, the sellout public inside of Wells Fargo Heart rose to its ft.

In the meantime, 76ers schoolteacher Nick Caregiver held his breath.

“Go faster?” Caregiver mentioned postgame, when requested what was once going via his thoughts when he noticed Embiid using the paint within the endmost moments of a one-point match later swiping the ball from Thunder safe Josh Giddey.

Seconds then, Embiid, in his first motion in 8 weeks later present process a process at the lateral meniscus in his left knee, dived into Thunder middle Chet Holmgren on the rim, sending the rookie into the photographers at the back of the basket and Embiid to the detached throw layout. “Man, I was trying to get the and-one,” Embiid mentioned postgame.

Embiid knocked ill a couple of detached throws, and later a last layout that noticed Oklahoma Town leave out 3 doable game-tying 3-pointers within the ultimate 13 seconds of the sport, Embiid and the 76ers had been in a position to honour a 109-105 victory over the Thunder. Philly’s MVP large guy was once formally again.

General, it was once an asymmetric efficiency for Embiid: 24 issues on 6-for-14 taking pictures however 12-for-12 from the foul layout, to travel in conjunction with 6 rebounds, 7 assists, 3 steals and six giveover in just about half-hour at the court docket. Most significantly, Embiid perceived to emerge unscathed from a fitness standpoint, simply as he did from Saturday’s long 5-on-5 observe, his first complete consultation together with his teammates since Golden State Warriors ahead Jonathan Kuminga inadvertently fell on his leg during a game on Jan. 30.

Now, the 76ers shift to Miami for some of the greatest excess video games within the habitual season Thursday night time. Embiid, who was once visibly exhausted from time to time all over Tuesday’s win, mentioned the purpose is to play games in that match, too.

“We just gotta take it day by day, see how the knee responds tomorrow,” Embiid mentioned. “We got a big one in Miami. If I’m good to go, obviously go.”

Tuesday’s match, whilst fellow All-Big name Tyrese Maxey and the workforce’s alternative foundation safe, De’Anthony Melton, watched in boulevard garments, was once an indication that this contender, with lower than two weeks to travel within the habitual season, is near to turning into entire.

“I want us to go on a run to finish the season,” Embiid mentioned. “So, we got to take [the wins], and keep competing.”

Because the extra of the Japanese Convention’s contenders guard Embiid and the Sixers over their ultimate six video games of the habitual season, right here’s how the reigning MVP’s go back may just shake up the playoff race.


What Embiid manner for Philadelphia at the court docket

For Philadelphia, the later two weeks are about two issues: getting Embiid up-to-speed and doing the entirety imaginable to steer clear of the play-in event. Hour Embiid’s go back was once an visible spice up, it confirmed how a lot his workforce has modified since he went out in past due January. Prior to Tuesday’s match, Embiid had by no means performed a unmarried moment with foundation guards Kyle Lowry and Cameron Payne and 6th guy Buddy Hield — all 3 arrived at or similar the Feb. 8 business time limit. Embiid’s victorious comeback additionally got here with fellow All-Big name Tyrese Maxey sitting out for a moment consecutive match with a hip trauma.

When Embiid is at the court docket this season, Philadelphia is scoring 120.6 issues according to 100 possessions and permitting 110.5. The ones would rank because the second-best offense and third-best protection within the NBA over a complete season. However all over Embiid’s trauma, Philadelphia was once outscored through 4.9 issues according to 100 possessions, the ninth-worst mark within the league in that span.

Now, there are causes for optimism that the workforce assembled across the reigning MVP is best than the roster when Embiid went ill. Lowry, the North Philadelphia local, has clash 39% of his 3-pointers as a Sixer, supplies cast two-way play games and has a decent reference to 76ers schoolteacher Nick Caregiver from their shared pace at the side of the Toronto Raptors.

Hield, in the meantime, is the fresh in a layout of sharpshooting guards that proceed smartly off the ball who will have to slip proper into some finest two-man match movements with Embiid, simply as J.J. Redick and Seth Curry have with him within the year. And Nicolas Batum, later lacking a couple of chunks of pace because of trauma previous within the time, has turn into a staple in Philadelphia’s lineup who may just excel along Embiid and Harris within the 76ers’ frontcourt. One unknown is the condition of safe De’Anthony Melton, a key two-way participant for Philadelphia and, if wholesome, Maxey’s spouse within the workforce’s foundation backcourt. Melton has performed in simply 5 of the 76ers’ extreme 44 video games on account of ongoing again problems, and his go back timetable rest dense.


Embiid’s affect at the East playoff image

Thursday’s matchup in Miami with the Warmth looms as a digital must-win for the 76ers to climb upper than 8th coming into the East play-in event. Miami additionally received Tuesday, beating the New York Knicks, and can input Thursday 1.5 video games up within the standings with a 2-1 govern within the season form.

A Warmth win Thursday would ruthless they’ve to travel simply 3-3 ill the stretch to safeguard completing forward of Philadelphia through use of the head-to-head tiebreaker. (The Sixers, who misplaced the season form 2-1 to the Indiana Pacers, fare negative higher in a possible three-team connect.) Miami finishes with back-to-back house video games in opposition to the lottery-bound Toronto Raptors and is more likely to no less than break its ultimate six video games.

If Philly wins to connect the season form 2-2, that may push the tiebreaker to convention document. At 29-18, the Warmth are lately forward of the 76ers (27-21), however that’s no longer settled but. Possibly extra importantly, a win Thursday would give Philadelphia a sensible trail to easily end forward of Miami within the standings.

Later Miami, the 76ers end the season with 4 in their ultimate 5 video games in opposition to groups with bottom-eight data. Even though the Orlando Magic have a greater document, Philadelphia would most likely be preferred within the excess match through use of taking part in at house with a wholesome Embiid.

If the Sixers win out, it’s believable they may cross each the Warmth and Pacers and steer clear of the play-in altogether. Projections in line with ESPN’s Basketball Energy Index (BPI) confirmed Philly claiming a top-six seed in 6% of simulations earlier than Tuesday’s win.

The place the 76ers end has impressive implications for the peak part of the East standings as smartly. Not one of the convention’s peak groups wish to face the reigning MVP within the first around as a praise for incomes a top-three seed.

If Philadelphia wins the second one play-in match and claims the 8th seed it could ruthless a matchup in opposition to the top-seeded Boston Celtics for the second one directly time later the groups met within the 2023 convention semifinals — be expecting renewed consideration on the potential for peak seeds getting a anticipation to pick out their warring parties going forward.

Hour the Sixers could be an atypically difficult Negative. 8 seed, Boston would definitely be preferred in a first-round form. So too would the Negative. 2 seed Milwaukee Bucks, albeit through a narrower margin. However whichever workforce finishes 0.33 out of the Cleveland Cavaliers, Unused York Knicks and Orlando Enchanment may just in finding themselves a first-round underdog in opposition to Philadelphia with Embiid.

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